Daily Archives: September 18, 2012

Seattle, Washington soon to be covered with seawater….

The mean sea level trend is 2.06 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.17 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1898 to 2006 which is equivalent to a change of 0.68 feet in 100 years.

New York State Surface Temperature, 1743-2011……

Using the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) data here, the following plot was created. It represents regional climate change for the State of New York.

The plot shows the mean monthly surface temperature, the mean daily maximum surface temperature, and the mean daily minimum surface temperture. Clearly, the range of actual temperature changes experienced in recent years is not extremely different than in the past. Sure, some years are colder or warmer than others, but so what. Natural variability such as this is to be expected.

As in the other plot posted on this blog, this first cut look at this data suggests that the people sounding alarms over an impending climate catastrophe are in a world of their own. The historical record suggests a very broad yet defined band of highly variable temperatures. This might be more apparent if the actual data is plotted rather than mean values. We’ll work on presenting that in the future, as it will take some time to dig through the BEST data set. The data for the graph below (and the others I have posted) are the means calculated by BEST. The more I look at this data, the more it appears that the BEST website presentation of the data is misleading at best, if not disingenuous.

San Diego, CA soon to be underwater…

The mean sea level trend is 2.06 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.20 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1906 to 2006 which is equivalent to a change of 0.68 feet in 100 years.

Is it time to relocate the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)?

A so-called national center is of no use if all it does is issue alarming press releases to fit an agenda. Perhaps it is time to move the NSIDC out of the Peoples Republic of Boulder, Colorado back into reality. Antarctic ice is doing just fine, thank you. But when it drops in the future (to be expected) I’m sure the Boulderians will squeal again.

Climate model Antarctic sea ice predictions wrong

Most climate model erroneously predict that Antarctic sea ice extent decreased over the past 30 years. This does not correspond to observation.

J. Turner, T. Bracegirdle, T. Phillips, G.J. Marshall, and J.S. Scott. An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models. Journal of Climate 2012. doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Abstract: We examine the annual cycle and trends in Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) for 18 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 models that were run with historical forcing for the 1850s to 2005. Many of the models have an annual SIE [sea ice extent] cycle that differs markedly from that observed over the last 30 years. The majority of models have too small a SIE at the minimum in February, while several of the models have less than two thirds of the observed SIE at the September maximum. In contrast to the satellite data, which exhibits a slight increase in SIE, the mean SIE of the models over 1979 – 2005 shows a decrease in each month, with the greatest multi-model mean percentage monthly decline of 13.6% dec-1 in February and the greatest absolute loss of ice of -0.40 × 106 km2 dec-1 in September. The models have very large differences in SIE over 1860 – 2005. Most of the control runs have statistically significant trends in SIE over their full time span and all the models have a negative trend in SIE since the mid-Nineteenth Century. The negative SIE trends in most of the model runs over 1979 – 2005 are a continuation of an earlier decline, suggesting that the processes responsible for the observed increase over the last 30 years are not being simulated correctly.

Corruption alleged in drinking water distribution by Thrissur Corporation (India)

“The petitioners pointed out that the five zones – Ollur, Vilvattam, Koorkanchery, Ayyanthole and Ollookkara – of the Thrissur Corporation are drought-prone areas. As per the Government Order dated May 30, 2009, it is the duty of the Revenue Department to distribute water to drought-hit areas. “However, instead of declaring the zones as drought-prone areas, the corporation rulers distributed drinking water using its own funds and thus wasted crores of rupees,” George Vattukulam told media. “

Click here for the full article….