Monthly Archives: May 2014

“Not healthy” that anyone is listening to Mitt Romney

Mr. Romney, lost remember? Mitt Romney and his advisors know how to lose national elections. His policy views on amnesty and other governing decisions are not what this country needs now. (click here)

Why is anyone still listening to him?

Yale study a typical “climate” propaganda effort

Manipulating language to achieve a particular behavioral outcome is not new. In fact such efforts have been going on within the “climate change” (aka “global warming”) crowd for many years. From calling people “deniers” and “skeptics” to threatening to put those who disagree with them in jail (click here). Those who manipulate language in this way certainly are not credible scientists and they should be ignored.

“What’s the point of language — especially in science? If you are naive, you might think it’s to communicate a fixed concept so everyone understands and can voice an opinion on the same thing. You would be wrong. The real purpose of scientific terms is to motivate the punters to behave differently (especially if that means “give us more money”). That’s why the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication has assigned 5 PhD’s and a guy called Feinberg to spend days, weeks and months analyzing surveys to find out which propaganda term is more “effective”. The simple answer is “global warming” ekes out more fear and pain among democrats than “climate change”; therefore expect to see its use rocket.” click here for full post at JoNova.

23 Climate models fail to represent reality

Yet another study showing the failure of climate models. This time assessing their ability to hindcast.

Steinhaeuser, K. and Tsonis, A.A. 2014. A climate model intercomparison at the dynamics level. Climate Dynamics 42: 1665-1670.

Until now, climate model intercomparison has focused primarily on annual and global averages of various quantities or on specific components, not on how well the general dynamics in the models compare to each other. In order to address how well models agree when it comes to the dynamics they generate, we have adopted a new approach based on climate networks. We have considered 28 pre-industrial control runs as well as 70 20th-century forced runs from 23 climate models and have constructed networks for the 500 hPa, surface air temperature (SAT), sea level pressure (SLP), and precipitation fields for each run. We then employed a widely used algorithm to derive the community structure in these networks. Communities separate “nodes” in the network sharing similar dynamics. It has been shown that these communities, or sub-systems, in the climate system are associated with major climate modes and physics of the atmosphere (Tsonis AA, Swanson KL, Wang G, J Clim 21: 2990–3001 in 2008; Tsonis AA, Wang G, Swanson KL, Rodrigues F, da Fontura Costa L, Clim Dyn, 37: 933–940 in 2011; Steinhaeuser K, Ganguly AR, Chawla NV, Clim Dyn 39: 889–895 in 2012). Once the community structure for all runs is derived, we use a pattern matching statistic to obtain a measure of how well any two models agree with each other. We find that, with the possible exception of the 500 hPa field, consistency for the SAT, SLP, and precipitation fields is questionable. More importantly, none of the models comes close to the community structure of the actual observations (reality). This is a significant finding especially for the temperature and precipitation fields, as these are the fields widely used to produce future projections in time and in space.

Click here for full paper (fee).

 

House Science and Technology Committee hearing on the IPCC

Full Committee Hearing – Examining the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Process

2318 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, D.C. 20515 | May 29, 2014 11:00am

Witnesses

Dr. Richard S.J. Tol, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex

Dr. Michael Oppenheimer, Albert G. Milbank Professor of Geosciences and International Affairs, Department of Geosciences, Princeton University

Dr. Daniel Botkin, Professor Emeritus, Department of  Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara

Dr. Roger Pielke Sr., Senior Research Scientist, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, and Professor Emeritus of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University

Mr. Thad Cochrane (MS) a coward? Sure looks like it here. Time for a replacement.

SOUTHAVEN, Mississippi — Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS) pulled the old “bait-and-switch” to avoid a televised CNN interview, reporter Dana Bash says.

Climate models violate basic physical laws of thermodynamics

Almut Gassmann and Hans-Joachim Herzog. How is local material entropy production represented in a numerical model? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.  DOI: 10.1002/qj.2404

Numerical models of the atmosphere should fulfill fundamental physical laws. The Second Law of thermodynamics is associated with positive local entropy production and dissipation of available energy. In order to guarantee this positivity in numerical simulations, subgrid-scale turbulent fluxes of heat, water vapor, and momentum are required to depend on numerically resolved gradients in a unique way. The task of parameterization remains to deliver phenomenological coefficients.

Inspecting commonly used parameterizations for subgrid-fluxes, we find that some of them obey the Second Law of thermodynamics, and some do not. The conforming approaches are the Smagorinsky momentum diffusion, phase changes, and sedimentation fluxes for hydrometeors. Conventional turbulent heat flux parameterizations do not conform with the Second Law. A new water vapor flux formulation is derived from the requirement of locally positive entropy production. The conventional and the new water vapor fluxes are compared using high-resolution radiosonde data. Conventional water vapor fluxes are wrong by up to 10% and exhibit a negative bias.

Two numerical tests (the Boulder windstorm testcase and a convective boundary layer experiment) are performed with the ICON-IAP model. The experiments compare conventional and entropy-consistent heat flux parameterizations. Both test cases indicate that negative thermal dissipation can occur for the conventional heat flux. Obviously, the additional energy made available by this negative dissipation to the resolved turbulence is later on dissipated by friction, so that the total dissipation is again comparable [for the wrong reasons], at least for the boundary layer experiment.

Click here for the full paper (fee).

 

Hypocrite Tom Steyer is throwing money away in Florida

Having made his fortune from the coal industry, Mr. Steyer is crusading against “climate change” in Florida. Regardless of the election outcome, Steyer is simply throwing his money away. click here