Tag Archives: Climate Models

Southern ocean temperature pattern refutes climate models

“The IPCC report said “Feedbacks associated with changes in sea ice and snow amplify surface warming near the poles” and gave several supporting references. But the Southern Oceans temperature pattern above shows the exact opposite: the further south you get, the greater the rate of cooling. In fact, at almost the precise latitude where the IPCC expected the most amplified warming there was some of the fastest cooling on the planet! [Note where zero trend is on the Y axis].” click here

Climate models are unreliable for making policy and writing regulations

“Yesterday we posted on how rainfall across southern Europe has risen over the past couple of decades, thus going in the opposite direction of what was projected by climate models. And once again the models are shown to be woefully faulty and an unreliable tool for policymaking, as the following example shows.” click here

Another critique of the new Santer et al. study

“The new Santer et al. study merely shows that the satellite data have indeed detected warming (not saying how much) that the models can currently only explain with increasing CO2 (since they cannot yet reproduce natural climate variability on multi-decadal time scales).” click here

Climate model predictions are unreliable

Climate model forecasts have shown a 100% failure rate. click here

Factual errors in Cheng et al. (2019) ocean warming paper

“There are a number of statements in Cheng et al. (2019) ‘How fast are the oceans warming’, (‘the paper’) that appear to be mistaken and/or potentially misleading. My analysis of these issues is followed by a reply from the paper’s authors: Lijing Cheng, John Abraham, Zeke Hausfather and Kevin Trenberth.” click here

Ocean warming in climate models differ widely

“One of the problems with the results in the Cheng et al. study is how the 90% confidence intervals are computed. Most people will simply assume they are related to how well the stated numbers are known. That is, how good the various observational and model estimates of ocean warming are.

But they would be wrong.” click here

Climate multi-model means and anomalies do not reflect physical realities

“A multi-model mean of 81 ensemble members, where the models are all giving wrong answers, some worse than others, simply provides us with a consensus of the wrong answers. And to compound that, the RCP8.5 scenario is, more and more often as days go by, being found to be unrealistic.” click here