Tag Archives: New York City

Summers are getting cooler in New York City

“New York City reached 100 degrees in 1952, 1953, 1954, 1955 and 1957 – but haven’t been over 100 degrees in the past seven years. Summers are getting cooler in New York, but the New York Times understands that their readers will believe anything they say, and this they can get away with any misinformation which suits their agenda.” click here

New York City underwater in 2015? Yet another failed climate change prediction….

“New York City underwater? Gas over $9 a gallon? A carton of milk costs almost $13? Welcome to June 12,  2015. Or at least that was the wildly-inaccurate version of 2015 predicted by ABC News exactly seven years ago. Appearing on Good Morning America in 2008, Bob Woodruff hyped Earth 2100, a special that pushed apocalyptic predictions of the then-futuristic 2015.” click here

New York City will soon be underwater, Not!

Nils-Axel. The Illusive Flooding of New York CityJournal of Environmental Sciences Volume 1, Issue 2 

In media we often hear frightening stories of a sea in the progress of rapidly rising and flooding low-lying coasts and islands, and coastal cities like New York. This paper is devoted to a scientific evaluation of evidence-based facts versus fake news that violates facts and physical laws. It is a serious mistake to claim that global sea level is in a phase of rapid rise. Observationally based facts document a present changes in absolute (eustatic) sea level ranging between ±0.0 and +1.0 mm/yr. This poses no threats what so ever. In New York City, sea level is rising at a rate of +2.84 mm/yr, which would imply an additional rise in sea level by 23.3 cm by 2100, a modest rise that can be handled without problems. There also occur statements that sea level may raise by 1 m or more by 2100. All such claims represent fake news that does not concur with observational fact and violates physical frames of realism.

Can New York be Saved from Global Warming Hype?

Recent claims here that New York City will disappear because of global warming seem to be very much exaggerated.

battery sea level trend

The mean sea level trend is 2.84 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence
interval of +/- 0.09 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from
1856 to 2015 which is equivalent to a change of 0.93 feet in 100 years.

 

Drinking Water Turbidity and Emergency Room Visits for GI Illness, New York City

Hsieh JL, Nguyen TQ, Matte T, Ito K. Drinking Water Turbidity and Emergency Department Visits for Gastrointestinal Illness in New York City, 2002-2009. PLoS One. 2015 Apr 28;10(4):e0125071. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0125071.

BACKGROUND: Studies have examined whether there is a relationship between drinking water turbidity and gastrointestinal (GI) illness indicators, and results have varied possibly due to differences in methods and study settings.

OBJECTIVES: As part of a water security improvement project we conducted a retrospective analysis of the relationship between drinking water turbidity and GI illness in New York City (NYC) based on emergency department chief complaint syndromic data that are available in near-real-time.

METHODS: We used a Poisson time-series model to estimate the relationship of turbidity measured at distribution system and source water sites to diarrhea emergency department (ED) visits in NYC during 2002-2009. The analysis assessed age groups and was stratified by season and adjusted for sub-seasonal temporal trends, year-to-year variation, ambient temperature, day-of-week, and holidays.

RESULTS: Seasonal variation unrelated to turbidity dominated (~90% deviance) the variation of daily diarrhea ED visits, with an additional 0.4% deviance explained with turbidity. Small yet significant multi-day lagged associations were found between NYC turbidity and diarrhea ED visits in the spring only, with approximately 5% excess risk per inter-quartile-range of NYC turbidity peaking at a 6 day lag. This association was strongest among those aged 0-4 years and was explained by the variation in source water turbidity.

CONCLUSIONS: Integrated analysis of turbidity and syndromic surveillance data, as part of overall drinking water surveillance, may be useful for enhanced situational awareness of possible risk factors that can contribute to GI illness. Elucidating the causes of turbidity-GI illness associations including seasonal and regional variations would be necessary to further inform surveillance needs.

Mandatory Fluoridation has a “Rocky Past” because it is Unnecessary

Every so many years a newspaper article is published reciting an account of fluoride’s past that is intended to marginalize or discredit anyone who would question the efficacy of drinking water fluoridation.

Ralph Blumenthal. Mandatory Fluoridation’s Rocky Past. New York Times; 2/24/2015, Vol. 164 Issue 56787, pD2-D2

This article discusses the issue of mandatory fluoridation of water in New York City, which began in the 1950s, and opposition to fluoridation. The problems with “science” of the 1940s and 1950s underlying mandatory fluoridation are many. The experiments of Harold C. Hodge on fluoride toxicity were controversial. Imposition of mandatory fluoridation was and still is a political decision.

Battery Park Sea Level Rise 0.93 ft per 100 Years

Expensive modeling studies are not necessary in order to plan responsibly for the future. In many cases studies such as this are a waste of time and money. New York’s skyline will always be changing. The report writers have simply ignored science and are relying on assumptions and speculations.

New Yoirk battery park
The mean sea level trend is 2.83 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.09 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1856 to 2013 which is equivalent to a change of 0.93 feet in 100 years.

“New York City Panel on Climate Change released a new report detailing exactly how climate scientists expect New York City to change over over the next 100 years, focusing on projected increases in temperature and sea level. Sea level rise will certainly transform the shape of the city’s coastline. But Manhattan’s edges are basically a man-made pile of garbage already—they can go ahead and disintegrate. What climate will really change is the true shape of New York: Its iconic skyline, and the buildings in it.” click here